Inventory increases and sales drop in September, but overall sales for the year remain higher than last year.
Strong gains in the first-half of 2017 has put the Calgary year-to-date sales at seven per cent above last years' levels and 11 per cent below long-term averages, but challenges remain with easing sales and rising new listings.
Inventories rose across all property types to 6,861 units, while both apartment and attached-style properties saw the highest inventory on record for the month of September.
"The recent rise in inventories is preventing further price recovery as sales activity has moderated over recent months. This does not come as a surprise as sales activity is expected to remain modest by historical standards until more substantial economic improvements take hold," said CREB® chief economist Ann-Marie Lurie. "Some may consider this a setback, but it is important to note that recent movements are balancing out the higher than expected gains that occurred in the first-half of the year."
New listings in September totaled 3,266 units, a year-over-year gain of nearly 10 per cent.
"There are several factors influencing new listings. Given the falling prices over the past two years, some sellers were waiting for market conditions to improve prior to listing their homes. More stability in the market has prompted many of those sellers to no longer delay their listing decision," said CREB® president David P. Brown.
"In some segments, rising new home inventories are also impacting total housing supply. Ultimately, prices are affected. However, this inventory also opens up opportunity for buyers to step up into a home that was financially unattainable."
As of September, unadjusted benchmark prices totaled $441,500. This is 0.2 per cent below last month, but nearly one per cent above last year. Downward price pressure this month occurred across most product types. However, year-to-date benchmark prices in the detached sector remain comparable to last year.
Prices in the detached sector remain relatively stable compared to last year. Condominium apartment prices remain four per cent below 2016 levels and twelve per cent below 2014 highs. This sector continues to struggle with price declines resulting from excess supply as months of supply pushed above eight months.
Housing Market Facts
Both the North and Southeast have reached record high inventory levels for September. This is likely related to the new construction activity as these districts are in areas with significant amounts of new housing projects.
Despite city wide easing, third-quarter sales improved in the East, West, South and Southeast areas of the City.
September detached prices eased in most districts compared to last year. However, on a year-to-date basis, only the Northeast, South and East districts have prices just below last year’s levels.
City-wide inventory gains occurred across all price ranges. The gains were more broad based in the detached and apartment sectors. However, most the gains in the attached sector occurred in the $300,000 - $399,999 range.
For the second month in a row, attached prices remained relatively unchanged at $336,000, keeping year-to-date figures just below last year’s levels. However, yearly price changes do vary between the semi-detached product, which remains four per cent higher than 2016. The row product is nearly four per cent lower than last year’s levels.
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